Not So Fast
With several issues leftover from last week and several more controversial ones on the agenda this week—such as the Consumer Financial Protection Agency and derivatives—it may be a challenge for the congressional conferees to finish their work by the Fourth of July. In addition to sorting out the policy issues, Congress also has to get through certain procedural hoops before the financial regulatory reform proposals become law.
July 4th is the quoted deadline, but the real deadline for Congress to finish its business on this legislation is more likely to be Thursday, July 1, or Friday, July 2, because most members will be anxious to get back to their states and districts for Independence Day events. Between now and then, several things must happen. Assuming the conferees come to a conclusion and the majority agrees to a final package, the conference committee must produce two documents:
- A conference report, which the majority of conferees must sign; and
- A joint explanatory statement, which explains what the conference report does.
The House will then act first and take up the conference report. The House Rules Committee will have to meet to agree to a rule for the report’s floor consideration. House rules require that conference reports must layover 72 hours, however, the Rules Committee may vote to waive that rule. If not, that could add three extra days to the process.
Once the conference report goes to the House floor, the members can vote to adopt, reject, or recommit it (to the conference committee). Assuming the House adopts the conference report, it would then go to the Senate where it is subject to debate and possibly a filibuster. Even if Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has the 60 votes needed to invoke cloture and end the filibuster, there is a two day process for cloture plus 30 hours of post-cloture debate.
What this means is that process issues alone could take up a week’s worth of congressional time. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) and Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-CT) are seasoned legislators who have likely factored these procedural constraints into their strategy. Financial Reform Watch predicts the Chairmen will push hard to finish the conference committee work by the end of this week or weekend, leaving next week to get through the procedural hurdles. If they are unsuccessful in bringing the conference’s work to a close by next Monday, the July 4th deadline may be in real jeopardy.
