More Fireworks

The Fourth of July deadline for enacting financial regulatory reform legislation is likely to be postponed, yet again, to the middle or end of July. The House and Senate conference committee completed its work on the Dodd Frank bill in the wee hours of last Friday morning, but the death of Sen. Robert Byrd (D-WV) and the objections of four Senate Republicans are forcing the conference committee back into session this afternoon.

Senate Democratic leadership is now struggling to find the 60 votes necessary to overcome a filibuster. Sen. Byrd was a reliable “yes” vote for the conference report, and his replacement is not expected to be sworn in for at least several weeks. The four Republican Senators who had earlier supported the Senate bill are now likely to oppose the conference report -- Scott Brown (MA), Susan Collins (ME), Charles Grassley (IA), and Olympia Snowe (ME). Sen. Brown yesterday sent a letter to Conference Chairmen Dodd (D-CT) and Frank (R-MA) explaining that he was withdrawing his earlier support of the measure due to the addition of an FDIC assessment on large banks and hedge funds that was inserted at the last minute in order to raise the $18 billion necessary to make the legislation budget-neutral. Senators Snowe and Collins have also expressed reservations about the addition of this provision, and Sen. Grassley is facing additional constituent pressure being generated around a difficult primary challenge that may cause him to reconsider his earlier support.

Of the two Senate Democrats who voted against the bill last time – Senators Russ Feingold (D-WI) and Maria Cantwell (D-WA) – Sen. Feingold continues to oppose the legislation and Sen. Cantwell remains undecided. The leaders are holding today’s conference meeting in an effort to find alternative means to pay for the shortfall and make the bill budget neutral. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank and Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd have now proposed to raise the FDIC reserve ratio to 1.35 and divert unused TARP funds to replace the current $18 billion assessment. Of course, the new solution may well alter the support of other Senators.

Paying tribute to Senator Byrd, resolving the assessment issue, lining up the votes, and getting through significant procedural requirements in time to get members of Congress home for their Independence Day events now appears unlikely if not impossible.

 

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