FRW Goes to the Street (.com)

 Click on the link below to see comments by FRW team member Peter Peyser, Managing Principal of Blank Rome Goverment Relations, on how regulatory attention to institutions participating in the student loan program could impact the banking industry.


http://www.thestreet.com/video/10873927/citigroup-student-loan-sale-under-scrutiny.html

Getting Started

Since the enactment of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act on July 21, 2010, the agencies charged with implementing the Act have begun laying the groundwork for managing their new responsibilities.

The Department of Treasury’s Assistant Secretary for Financial Institutions Michael Barr provided a window into the action during his remarks to the Chicago Club yesterday. The first meeting of the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) – the council of financial regulators charged with managing systemic risk – will be in September. The Treasury is currently working to stand up the new Office of Financial Research that will support the FSOC by collecting and analyzing data pertaining to systemic risk. Internationally, Treasury is working to raise capital requirements – the ratios and the quality of the underlying capital – and also institute explicit, quantitative liquidity requirements. According to Barr, the Dodd-Frank reforms also require that, “Regulators must supplement existing approaches to supervision with mandatory ‘stress tests,’ credit exposure reporting, and ‘living wills,’ so that they can adequately assess the potential impact of the activities and risk exposures of these firms on each other, on critical markets, and on the broader financial system.”

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Dodd Frank Act Means Major Changes for Public Companies

On July 21, 2010, President Obama signed into law the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (the “Act”). The Act provides the most sweeping overhaul of the regulation of the U.S. financial services industry and financial markets since the aftermath of the Great Depression. The Act represents Congress’ attempt to address the myriad of issues arising out of the financial crisis and marks the conclusion of over a year’s effort to craft a legislative solution designed to avoid another financial crisis. The legislation requires an overhaul of the regulatory landscape and establishes a new regulatory scheme to govern certain public companies, banks, insurance companies, hedge funds, as well as other companies in the financial services industry.

The new legislation is designed to address systemic risk in the U. S. financial system and remediate the “too big to fail” issues which required government bailouts of several large financial services companies during the financial crisis. The legislation also implements new corporate governance and disclosure requirements applicable to public companies, increases the regulatory requirements applicable to banks, insurance companies and hedge funds and subjects certain large financial services companies to regulation by the Federal Reserve Board (the “FRB”).

The new legislation adds several new corporate governance and disclosure requirements applicable to companies listed on U.S. stock exchanges and in some instances, other publicly-traded companies, including:

  • a requirement for having a non-binding shareholder vote on compensation of specified executive officers and in certain instances golden parachute provisions;
  • a requirement for more stringent rules and disclosure applicable to compensation committees;
  • a requirements for additional disclosure requirements related to executive compensation;
  • the elimination of discretionary voting by brokers in connection with the election of directors, executive compensation issues or other significant matters;
  • authorization for the SEC to adopt rules related to proxy access; and
  • a requirement to adopt clawback policies with respect to employment arrangements of executives of companies seeking to list on a U.S. stock exchange.
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Senate Passes Financial Reform

This afternoon the Senate passed the Dodd Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act by a vote of 60 to 39.  As expected, all but three Republicans -- Senators Scott Brown (MA), Olympia Snowe (ME) and Susan Collins (ME) -- voted against the bill, and Sen. Russ Feingold (D-WI) was the only Democrat to vote against it. The president is expected to sign the legislation next week.

More Fireworks

The Fourth of July deadline for enacting financial regulatory reform legislation is likely to be postponed, yet again, to the middle or end of July. The House and Senate conference committee completed its work on the Dodd Frank bill in the wee hours of last Friday morning, but the death of Sen. Robert Byrd (D-WV) and the objections of four Senate Republicans are forcing the conference committee back into session this afternoon.

Senate Democratic leadership is now struggling to find the 60 votes necessary to overcome a filibuster. Sen. Byrd was a reliable “yes” vote for the conference report, and his replacement is not expected to be sworn in for at least several weeks. The four Republican Senators who had earlier supported the Senate bill are now likely to oppose the conference report -- Scott Brown (MA), Susan Collins (ME), Charles Grassley (IA), and Olympia Snowe (ME). Sen. Brown yesterday sent a letter to Conference Chairmen Dodd (D-CT) and Frank (R-MA) explaining that he was withdrawing his earlier support of the measure due to the addition of an FDIC assessment on large banks and hedge funds that was inserted at the last minute in order to raise the $18 billion necessary to make the legislation budget-neutral. Senators Snowe and Collins have also expressed reservations about the addition of this provision, and Sen. Grassley is facing additional constituent pressure being generated around a difficult primary challenge that may cause him to reconsider his earlier support.

Of the two Senate Democrats who voted against the bill last time – Senators Russ Feingold (D-WI) and Maria Cantwell (D-WA) – Sen. Feingold continues to oppose the legislation and Sen. Cantwell remains undecided. The leaders are holding today’s conference meeting in an effort to find alternative means to pay for the shortfall and make the bill budget neutral. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank and Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd have now proposed to raise the FDIC reserve ratio to 1.35 and divert unused TARP funds to replace the current $18 billion assessment. Of course, the new solution may well alter the support of other Senators.

Paying tribute to Senator Byrd, resolving the assessment issue, lining up the votes, and getting through significant procedural requirements in time to get members of Congress home for their Independence Day events now appears unlikely if not impossible.

 

GOOAAL

With the clock ticking on a self-imposed deadline for the completion of House and Senate conference negotiations, House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) did his best impersonation of (soccer star) Landon Donovan early Friday morning, clearing a conference report that will bring Congress one step closer to passing the most sweeping financial regulatory reform legislation in nearly a century. 

Capping off two weeks of publicly-televised conference committee negotiations that included a nearly 24-hour marathon session on the final day, House conferees voted 20-11 and Senators voted 7-5 to approve the measure on party lines; and provided President Obama with a critical victory prior to this weekend’s G-20 Summit in Toronto.

Below are the key issues that were resolved in conference committee on Thursday:

Derivatives
A broad array of industries, both inside and outside the financial sector, anxiously awaited the conferees’ response to controversial Senate language authored by Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) that would require banks to spin-off or “wall off” their swaps operations. After many weeks of behind-the-scenes negotiations -- including a contentious session yesterday in which House Democrats threatened to pull their support for the overall bill if the Lincoln language was included -- conferees ultimately agreed to a watered-down version that allows banks to continue trading with certain derivatives that are deemed less risky. Under the proposal offered by House Agriculture Committee Chairman Collin C. Peterson (D-MN), derivatives tied to interest rate swaps, foreign exchange swaps, gold and silver, and investment-grade credit default swaps will be exempted from the prohibition, while derivative trading related to agriculture, commodities, energy, equities, metals, and below-investment-grade credit default swaps must be walled off from a bank’s federally insured deposits.

Volcker Rule
Aside from the derivatives title, the debate surrounding the “Volcker Rule” -- or the proposed ban on proprietary trading for banks and bank holding companies -- proved to be the most contentious item on the conferees’ agenda in the final week. In the end, negotiators agreed to strengthen the Volcker Rule provisions by incorporating language offered by Senators Carl Levin (D-MI) and Jeff Merkley (D-OR) that would strip the ability of regulators to halt the Volcker Rule‘s implementation. However, in deference to the wishes of Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA)—who was one of only four Republicans to vote for the financial reform bill in the Senate— the final language would allow banks to engage in proprietary trading activities with up to three percent of their tangible common equity.

Banking Capital Standards
Another major agreement involved language authored by Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) that would limit the ability of banks to use commonly held securities known as “trust-preferred” to meet capital requirements. Although House Democrats sought a 10-year phase-in for financial institutions with assets between $15 billion and $100 billion, negotiators agreed to a five-year phase-in period for $15-$100 billion institutions and a full exemption for those with less than $15 billion.

Corporate Governance
Conferees decided to retain a Senate provision that requires publicly-trade companies to grant certain shareholders -- those owning five percent of the outstanding shares for at least two years -- to nominate and elect members of the board of directors through a proxy vote.

Levy on Banks and Hedge Funds
In order to defray the legislation’s projected $22 billion cost -- as estimated by the Congressional Budget Office -- conferees approved last-minute language that would allow the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to levy fees on financial institutions with assets of $50 billion or more and hedge funds with managed assets of over $10 billion.

The House and Senate are expected to vote on the final conference report next week -- which is not subject to further amendment -- before sending it on to the White House for President Obama's signature and enactment into law .
 

The Home Stretch in the Senate

After wrapping up another eventful voting week that involved the consideration of nearly 15 amendments to the Restoring American Financial Stability Act of 2010 (S.3217), the Senate – and perhaps the Congress – now appears headed towards the finish line on financial regulatory reform.

Despite the numerous votes, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd’s (D-CT) overhaul legislation escaped relatively unscathed from problematic amendments that could have disrupted future conference negotiations with the House, as a flurry of proposals – including those related to credit rating agencies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, community banks, oversight of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, underwriting standards, the newly-created consumer financial protection bureau (CFPB) and interchange fees – all were brought up for consideration (see below for additional details on amendments). When the chamber returns to action next week, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) is expected to set up a vote that will occur on Wednesday to invoke cloture – or limit further debate to 30 hours – which if approved, would likely lead to the bill’s final passage later in the week. Some sources around Capitol Hill are even predicting that after the Senate completes its work, House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) and fellow Democrats will push for House passage of the Senate bill, precluding the need for a formal conference and ultimately shortening the timeline for the President’s signature.

But predictions aside, Dodd must still contend with the burgeoning frustration of his Democratic colleagues in the Senate, who expressed dismay this week that only 31 amendments out of the over 300 introduced have been formally debated on the floor thus far. In addition, particular contention still lingers with respect to the legislation’s provisions regulating derivatives transactions, specifically the scope of the bill’s "commercial end-user" exemption and its prohibition on commercial banks and bank holding companies from directly engaging in derivatives transactions. The Senate rejected, 39-59, a Republican derivatives proposal offered by Senators Saxby Chambliss (GA), Richard Shelby (AL), Judd Gregg (NH) that sought to limit the types of swaps transactions that would face clearing requirements by exempting “bona-fide hedging swap transactions.”
 

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Senate Ag Finishes Derivatives

Today the Senate Agriculture Committee, led by Chairman Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), completed its work on the over-the-counter derivatives section of financial regulatory reform. By a vote of 13 to 8, the committee adopted the Wall Street Transparency and Accountability Act. Sen. Charles Grassley (R-IA) was the only Republican to join the committee Democrats in voting for the bill.

The Senate is set to vote to end the filibuster on the Senate Banking Committee bill next Monday evening, which would allow Banking Chairman Chris Dodd (D-CT) to bring the legislation to the floor next Tuesday, April 27. The Monday night vote is dependent on getting at least one Republican to break ranks and vote for cloture, which would end the delay. No one knows which Republican will cave, but some likely candidates are the moderate Senators from the Northeast: Olympia Snowe (R-ME), Susan Collins (R-ME), or Scott Brown (R-MA).

We expect Sen. Dodd to incorporate Lincoln’s Wall Street Transparency and Accountability Act into the financial reform package he brings to the floor. Following are a few shorthand highlights of the Lincoln bill, but click here for the Senate Agriculture Committee’s more extensive summary and the most up to date bill language.

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The "No Drama" Markup

This afternoon at 5 p.m. the Senate Banking Committee will meet and likely adopt along party lines Chairman Chris Dodd's "Manager's Amendment" to his financial regulatory reform draft unveiled earlier this month. Instead of dedicating a week or more to consideration of the 473 amendments filed by committee members -- 98 of which were filed by Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN) -- Dodd decided to incorporate a fraction of the amendments into one roughly 100-page package and then move the bill swiftly and successfully out of committee.

Corker said this morning that he was disappointed about the process, since he had hoped to work through many of the issues in a bipartisan fashion within the Banking Committee.  Assuming things go as predicted tonight, many compromises to the bill will be worked out behind the scenes prior to floor consideration, while still other issues will play out on the Senate floor.

Corker still believes the bill has a 90 percent chance of passing ultimately and thinks that there may be a "better opportunity with a different cast of characters -- the full Senate -- to do something policywise."
 

The Volcker Rule, Bipartisan Progress, and a Chance of Snow

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-CT) and Ranking Member Richard Shelby (R-AL) continue to work towards bipartisan agreement on at least some key elements of a financial reform measure. While the process has been a rocky one, both Senators appear to be working hard to find common ground. They appear to have found agreement on at least two things:

1. There will NOT be a stand-alone Consumer Financial Protection Agency.  Rather, consumer protections functions will be folded into another agency or agencies.

2. The president's proposal to limit the size of financial institutions (the "Volcker rule") has complicated the process and may have come too late in the game.

Our contacts on the Hill are telling us to expect committee action on a financial reform package by the end of the month. Regardless of the final outcome of the Dodd-Shelby discussions, the Chairman appears committed to moving ahead.

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Clash of the Chairmen

Gaining strong momentum after its passage out of the House Financial Services Committee last week, a bill crafted by Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) to create a new Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) ran into a significant and unforeseen roadblock on Thursday – fellow Democrat and equally powerful House Energy and Commerce Chairman Henry Waxman (CA). In what could have been a routine markup of H.R. 3126, the Consumer Financial Protection Agency Act of 2009, the House Energy and Commerce Committee -- whose jurisdiction includes consumer protection and Federal Trade Commission oversight -- made dramatic changes to Frank's bill. One of the most obvious can be gathered from the amended bill's title: the Consumer Financial Protection Commission Act of 2009.

Waxman and the committee's Ranking Member Joe Barton (R-TX) collaborated on the manager’s amendment that would dramatically shift the agency’s governance from a single director to a commission led by a five-person bipartisan panel. Modeled after independent agencies like the Federal Communications Commission and the Federal Trade Commission, the chairman and commissioners would be nominated by the president, confirmed by the Senate, and serve staggered five year terms

Frank expressed sharp disapproval of the Waxman approach, referring to the commission model as “a big mistake” that will “weaken the capacity of the agency to provide consumer protection.” Frank defended the House Financial Services version as a balanced approach that allows a CFPA director to take prompt action, while at the same time, receiving the necessary recommendations and oversight from a board comprised of bank regulators and consumer groups. The differences may need to be resolved on the House floor. Waxman indicated he would have further changes during the floor debate, specifically removing some of the industry exemptions that were carved out by the House Financial Services legislation, including those for merchants, retailers and auto dealers.

The House Rules Committee will be the next stop for the bills where Chairman Louise Slaughter (D-NY) will execute the will of the House Democratic leadership and likely resolve the differences. It would not be in the best interest of the White House or congressional Democrats to have two of its most powerful chairmen battle over consumer protection on the House floor. The schedule is not yet posted, but the Rules Committee reconciliation could occur as early as next week.


 

A Piecemeal Approach

House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) changed the game yesterday with his announcement that the House would tackle financial reform by considering a series of smaller, targeted bills rather than a more comprehensive reform bill. Frank said he anticipates his committee will move four to six separate bills between July and the end of the year. First out of the gate will be legislation to create a new "Consumer Financial Protection Agency" proposed by the Obama administration.

With Frank’s Senate counterpart, Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-CT), fully occupied managing health care legislation, the timeline continues to slip in the upper chamber. Frank remains committed, however, to working the major issues through his committee this summer, and has already scheduled thirteen hearings and markups for July.

There is little doubt Congress will impose new consumer protections on the financial service industry. Whether it will create a new agency to police them remains to be seen. Given budget concerns and other competing priorities, Congress may ultimately determine to enhance the consumer protection requirements, including simplified disclosure, within the existing regulatory framework of the SEC, FDIC, Federal Reserve, and the potentially combined Offices of the Comptroller of the Currency and Thrift Supervision.

 

House Financial Services Committee Schedule

Topics for Discussion

Now that everyone has had a day or more to digest the Obama administration’s plan for Financial Regulatory Reform, suggestions, questions, and critiques are coming from all corners. Here is a sampling of the top issues under discussion.

Systemic Risk Regulator –

Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA), who sits on the Banking Committee, objects to the plan’s expansion of the Federal Reserve’s role in managing systemic risk, believing it would concentrate too much power in one entity. Warner instead proposes the establishment of a Systemic Risk Council comprised of the Treasury, the Fed, and the other financial regulators that would, together with a permanent council staff, be able to assess and minimize risks comprehensively across the financial landscape. The House Republicans also prefer the council approach, proposing their own version – the “Market Stability and Capital Adequacy Board”-- last week.

Tier I Financial Holding Companies --

What companies will be considered Tier I Financial Holding Companies and subject to new regulation by the Fed? The Fed and Treasury are to establish the criteria, but some companies that are not currently subject to federal regulation might include General Electric, Berkshire Hathaway, State Farm Insurance, or even WalMart. Those not used to federal regulation will be given five years to ease into the new regime – the non-financial activity restrictions in the Bank Holding Company Act.
 

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The Obama Plan: an Initial Review

 

President Obama today released the long-awaited proposal for reform of the regulatory structure overseeing the financial services industry. It is a sweeping proposal with broad implications for the entire industry. It reshuffles regulatory powers, combines some agencies, creates a new one and extends federal regulatory powers to products and firms which are currently not federally regulated or regulated at all. Congress, the industry,the media and other stakeholders are poring over the 85-page "white paper" describing the proposal. Click here to go to the document.
 

Brief Summary

1.      Avoid Future Systemic Risk/Promote Robust Supervision and Regulation – Raise capital and liquidity requirements for banks and systemically significant financial firms; establish a Financial Services Oversight Council of regulators to coordinate and prevent systemic risk; establish a new National Bank Supervisor in Treasury to oversee federally chartered banks; bring hedge funds and other private pools of capital into the regulatory framework; require public companies to hold non-binding say-on-pay shareholder votes and have independent compensation committees; review accounting standards; establish the Office of National Insurance within Treasury to enhance oversight of the sector.

2.      Reform the Structure of the Financial System – impose “robust” reporting requirements on issuers of asset-backed securities; reduce reliance on credit rating agencies; require the originator, sponsor or broker of a securitization to retain a financial interest in its performance; harmonize the regulation of futures and securities; safeguard payment and settlement systems; subject all derivatives trading to regulation; strengthen oversight of systemically important payment, clearing and settlements systems.

3.      Protect Consumers and Investors – improve the SEC’s ability to protect investors and establish a new Consumer Financial Protection Agency to identify gaps in supervision and enforcement; ensure the enforcement of consumer protection regulations; improve state coordination; and promote consistent regulation of similar products.

4.      Enable the Government to Manage Financial Crises -- establish a resolution mechanism, similar to the FDIC’s,  for non-bank financial firms and subject those whose failure could harm the financial system (Tier I Financial Holding Companies) to Fed supervision; require the Fed to get Treasury sign off when the Fed invokes its emergency lending authority for “unusual and exigent circumstances.”

5.      Improve International Supervision and Coordination – improve oversight of global financial markets; strengthen the capital framework; coordinate supervision of international firms; enhance crisis management tools.

 

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The Obama Financial Regulatory Reform Plan

President Obama is today releasing his plan for a new regulatory structure to mitigate risk in the financial marketplace. Please click here to see the proposal from the Administration. Financial Reform Watch will be posting analysis shortly.
 

The Republican Plan for Financial Regulatory Reform

Tired of being labeled as obstructionists, Republicans on the House Financial Services Committee on Thursday issued their plan for financial regulatory reform. Led by the committee’s Ranking Minority Member Spencer Bachus (R-AL) and TARP Congressional Oversight Committee member Jeb Hensarling (R-TX), the Republican solutions stem from three principles – prevent any future Wall Street bailouts; stop the government from picking winners and losers in the financial system; and restore market discipline.

While the Republican plan does not address every issue -- most notably missing is insurance regulation – those included represent a consensus view within their caucus. Bachus described their plan as a “line in the sand” from which Republicans can negotiate with the Democrats. Hensarling, who before coming to Congress served on the executive compensation committee of a company publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange, was particularly critical of the latest push to regulate compensation. A better approach, Hensarling believes, is the creation of a new “Market Stability and Capital Adequacy Board,” which would be charged with flagging risky practices across the board. The Republicans offered as an example the practice of rewarding loan originators for loan volume with no regard to loan quality, saying that such a board would have been able to halt that.

The White House plans to release its comprehensive reform plan on June 17th. Will the Obama administration give a nod to bipartisanship by including a few elements of the Republican plan? Financial Reform Watch will compare and contrast the plans later this week.

Central Elements of the Republican Plan

TARP Life II

The news last week that six insurance companies had been preliminarily approved for TARP money was viewed as the culmination of a process that began under the Bush Administration through which insurers sought assistance from the Federal government. In the six months since they initially applied for TARP funds, the companies' ardor for this sort of federal investment seems to have cooled somewhat.

The insurance companies approved for TARP money are being consistently cautious about accepting it. One, Ameriprise Financial, announced it would decline the funds. The others -- Prudential, Hartford, Lincoln National, Principal, and Allstate -- released statements to the effect that they are still evaluating their options.

The companies’ reactions could be viewed as a positive sign that, unlike in November when they submitted their applications, there are now alternatives to the TARP for raising capital. It may also be that companies are wary of getting too entangled with the government in light of issues surrounding executive compensation and business structure that have been faced by banks and auto companies who have taken federal assistance. In any case, it may be that they will view it as sign of strength to turn down assistance from Washington. While Treasury Department officials might see that as a "bait and switch" strategy, the companies have a legitimate case to make that things have changed between November and now.

We will be following the insurance industry's relationship with Treasury and the TARP and will keep our readers posted on developments.
 

Who Passed the Stress Test?

At 5 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time today, the Federal Reserve and Treasury unveiled the official results of the Supervisory Capital Assessment Program (SCAP), revealing that ten of the 19 participating banks need to increase their capital buffers for a combined total of $74.6 billion. The SCAP conducted stress tests on the nation’s largest bank holding companies to predict “potential losses, the resources available to absorb losses, and the resulting capital buffer needed” based on various economic scenarios.

The banks needing to increase their capital buffers will have to work with their primary regulators, in consultation with the FDIC, to develop a capital plan sometime in the next 30 days (by June 8, 2009), and they will have six months to implement the plans (by November 9, 2009).

Each capital plan must contain the following three elements:

  • A detailed description of specific actions the bank will take to increase capital in order to satisfy the capital buffer requirement. Treasury and the Fed encourage banks to raise new capital from private sources.
  • A list of steps to address weaknesses in the bank’s internal processes for assessing capital needs and engaging in capital planning.
  • An outline of steps the bank will take over time to repay government-provided capital.

As part of their 30 day review process, banks are also directed to evaluate their existing management and board of directors to make certain their leadership has the capability to “manage the risks presented by the current economic environment and maintain balance sheet capacity sufficient to continue prudent lending to meet the credit needs of the economy.”

The banks needing to increase their capital buffer (amounts in billions) are Bank of America ($33.9); Citi ($5.5); FifthThird ($1.1); GMAC ($11.5); KeyCorp ($1.8); Morgan Stanley ($1.8); PNC ($0.6); Regions ($2.5); SunTrust ($2.2); and Wells Fargo ($13.7). See the Fed report for more details.

Federal Reserve: Supervisory Capital Assessment Program - Overview of Results (PDF)

Stress Tests, Economic Indicators, and the Light at the End of the Tunnel

Call it green shoots or mustard seeds or hope, but according to some of the nation's leading economic experts, the outlook for the American economy is improving. These experts are venturing the opinion that the economy has hit bottom and the recession is ending. Some of the evidence cited is the fall in unemployment claims from March to April; the first quarter increases in consumer spending and consumer prices; and the stabilization in sales of existing and new homes over the past couple of months. Even Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke sounded optimistic (for a Fed Chairman) about the recovery. During testimony before the Joint Economic Committee this morning, Bernanke said, “We continue to expect economic activity to bottom out, then to turn up later this year.” Although he qualified his statement as dependent on a restored and healthy financial system, that too could be interpreted as a positive sign since the Fed is supposed to go over stress test results with the affected banks today.

Bernanke did not comment on the test results, but media leaks suggest that ten of the 19 banks will need to find more capital. The results are not supposed to be publicly available until later this week, but markets rallied somewhat yesterday based on White House spokesman Robert Gibbs’ comments that the administration does not anticipate needing more financial bailout money from Congress and suggesting the banks will be able to raise private capital.

Since unemployment is a lagging indicator, most experts predict it will be a few months before people feel the effects of an economic upturn. If the economy is pronounced in recovery by the fall, it will be far enough into his presidency that President Obama will likely receive appreciable credit . The potential return to better times could add momentum to a major administration priority: health care reform. Despite the White House Chief of Staff’s strategy of capitalizing on a crisis, we suspect the White House will find it is much easier to score congressional victories when there is hope on the horizon rather than fear.

Examining the Stress Test

This afternoon, the Federal Reserve released its white paper explaining the “design and implementation” of the Supervisory Capital Assessment Program (SCAP), more popularly known as the stress tests applied to the nation’s largest banks. The Fed said most banks have capital “well in excess of the amounts required to be well capitalized.” That said, it found that the nation’s 19 largest banks, including the banks they acquired, have together lost approximately $400 billion in the six quarters leading up to the end of 2008.

The SCAP required the banks to submit data and projections to their financial regulators in early March. The bank supervising agencies assigned over 150 of their supervisors, examiners, analysts, and economists working in teams to “conduct a comprehensive and consistent assessment simultaneously across the 19 largest BHCs [bank holding companies] using a common set of macroeconomic scenarios, and a common forward-looking conceptual framework.”

The goal of the SCAP is to determine how much capital these systemically significant banks should hold in order to “absorb losses should the economic downturn be longer and deeper than now expected.” Firms that will be required to “augment” their capital to create a buffer, will have the options of tapping the Treasury’s Capital Assistance Program; applying “to Treasury to exchange their existing Capital Purchase Program Preferred stock to help meet their buffer requirement;” and/or raising private capital. The Fed stressed that SCAP results requiring a bank to build a buffer should not be viewed as “a measure of the current solvency or viability of the firm.”

The SCAP results will not be made public until May 4th.

Federal Reserve: The Supervisory Capital Assessment Program - Design and Implementation (PDF)

CPP for Mutual Holding Companies and Banks

The Treasury Department this week released the terms for mutual holding companies and mutual banks to apply for TARP Capital Purchase Program funds. The application deadline is May 7, 2009 for mutual holding companies and May 14th for mutual banks. Links to the detailed documents are below.

Treasury Releases Capital Purchase Program Term Sheets for Mutual Holding Companies

Treasury Releases Capital Purchase Program Term Sheet for Mutual Banks

Stressed Out?

The Treasury Department is working to complete stress tests on 19 top U.S. banks. Reports are circulating that all the banks will receive a passing grade, but there is going to be some differentiation in the results between those that are particularly strong and those that are not. Several media outlets today are citing "senior Administration officials" as saying Treasury plans to release—or to encourage the banks to release—the results of the stress tests. The purpose for this, according to these officials, is to prevent rumors about "weak" institutions from causing investors, creditors, borrowers, and depositors to lose confidence in certain institutions. The release of the results will not occur before the end of the "earnings season"— April 24.

It does appear to us that the stress test results will be a contributing factor to a sorting of the banking industry into the healthy and the less healthy—to look at it in the most charitable light. Some banks are contributing to that sorting process by touting early their first quarter results and by openly discussing paying back the TARP funding they have received.

So faced with this developing story, we here at Financial Reform Watch have some questions we are pondering:

  • Will Treasury actually sort the banks into categories of strength?
  • What information will Treasury release and what information will the banks release?
  • Will the markets react as Treasury hopes to the release of information, or will they focus only on the less good results as a reason to drive down the values of certain institutions' stocks?

If this sorting process develops through the spring and the summer, talk of consolidation in the industry is likely to increase. So that supposition leads to questions as to whether or not Secretary Geithner will become an advocate for consolidation as Secretary Paulson before him did in suggesting through the capital injection process that certain banks—usually smaller ones—should be taken over by others.

In any case, the release of stress test results and information compiled in conducting the test could just as easily roil the markets as calm them in our view.

White House Cracks Down on Wall Street Compensation

Next week President Obama and Treasury Secretary Geithner will unveil the administration’s broad financial reform agenda—a strategy to get credit moving again—but yesterday offered a preview as they unveiled new restrictions on executive compensation. The announcement was in direct response to public outrage over the use of taxpayer funds to subsidize “excessive compensation packages on Wall Street.” The president railed against “lavish bonuses” and a “culture of narrow self-interest and short-term gain at the expense of everything else.” It will be interesting to see if this policy, which could affect compensation policies at industry-leading institutions, will result in a reduction and/or restructuring of executive compensation throughout the financial services industry. Even though the new policy appears intended to have just such a leavening effect on compensation, President Obama tried to reassure free-marketers by saying: “This is America. We don’t disparage wealth…and we believe success should be rewarded.”  But he went on to say that executives being rewarded for failure, especially with taxpayer money, is wrong.

The Treasury executive compensation reform guidelines fall into three categories covering:

  • all TARP recipients;
  • participants in a “generally available capital access program,” such as the Capital Purchase Program; and
  • institutions that receive “exceptional assistance,” such as Citigroup, Bank of America, and AIG. 
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Confusion and Criticism over Treasury's Changing Plans as Saturday's G20 Meeting Begins

With each passing day it becomes more apparent that neither the Congress nor the Bush Administration has an appetite for significant new actions to aid the financial system or the economy at large before the end of the year. Congressional leaders on Thursday made it clear that passage of an economic stimulus package or a package to aid the auto industry were looking increasingly difficult. At the Treasury Department, consideration is being given to making Capital Purchase Program assistance available to non-bank financial institutions, but no guidelines for how that might happen or what form the assistance may take have emerged. Meanwhile, congressional Republicans have begun clamoring for more information on the actions Treasury and the Federal Reserve have already taken to assist ailing financial institutions and other companies.

Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA), Ranking Member of the Senate Finance Committee, sent a harshly worded letter to the Treasury Secretary and Federal Reserve Chairman "to express concerns and receive answers to questions" he has regarding implementation of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (EESA). In a statement released along with his letter, Grassley said of the implementation thus far, "When you see so many changes, you wonder if they really know what they’re doing."

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Treasury Announces TARP Funds to Assist Non-Bank Financial Institutions

Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson today announced the Treasury Department will assist nonbank financial institutions with Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) funds and that the department will not use any funds for the original stated purpose of the program—the purchase of troubled assets from banks. The announcement of his intention to provide assistance to nonbank institutions represents a new step for Paulson. In making the announcement, the Secretary acknowledged that Treasury has not worked through the issue of funding organizations that are not federally regulated, however they are “designing further strategies for building capital in financial institutions,” and he said, “We will also consider capital needs of non-bank financial institutions not eligible for the current Capital Purchase Program.” He focused his remarks on the importance of shoring up the asset-backed securitization market by working with the Federal Reserve to develop a liquidity facility for AAA securities. Paulson acknowledged the need to “get lending going again,” and said, “While this securitization effort is targeted at consumer financing, the program we are evaluating may also be used to support new commercial and residential mortgage-backed securities lending.”

The accompanying announcement that Treasury does not intend to use TARP funds to purchase troubled assets as originally planned was a surprise to most observers. Paulson said he would seek to address the liquidity issues in the mortgage finance market by making additional capital available to banks if those funds were matched with private capital.

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Fed Senior Loan Officer Survey Supports Doing More for Homeowners

Most people in Washington are carefully tracking political polls today, trying to predict the fates of their presidential and congressional candidates. However, there are others both inside and outside of Washington studying another survey released this afternoon—the Federal Reserve’s quarterly Senior Loan Officer Survey.

The October 2008 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices confirms what many have suspected—credit markets are still struggling. Conducted October 2-16, the survey gathered responses from 55 domestic banks and 21 U.S. branches of foreign banks. The survey focuses on two areas:

  1. changes in the amounts of commercial and industrial (C&I) loans and
  2. changes in credit limits on existing credit card accounts for prime and non-prime borrowers.
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Treasury Looks at Matchmaking Banks

Reports in the media today indicate that the Treasury Department is considering using part of the $250 billion from the initial tranche of financial rescue money to support acquisitions by stronger banks of weaker ones. In retrospect, there was a foretelling of this strategy in the announcement of the initial round of recapitalization transactions with the "big 9" institutions. At that time, Treasury announced that of the $25 billion given both to Bank of America and Wells Fargo, a $5 billion portion in each case was to support their recent acquisitions.

This new emphasis on restructuring the banking system raises some important questions about how deep the Treasury Department plans to go in assisting banks farther down the food chain. On Monday, Secretary Paulson indicated that all "qualifying" regional and community banks would receive capital under the recapitalization program—implying that assistance would not be limited due to a lack of available funds. At the same time, however, Treasury has made it clear that not all applications for capital infusion will be accepted.

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The Capital Purchase Program

A short time ago, Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson announced some much-awaited details about the Department’s Capital Purchase Program (CPP). The Treasury will invest $250 billion of capital to U.S. financial institutions in the form of preferred stock. Nine of the largest banks have already agreed to participate in the CPP, which leaves $125 billion remaining. Paulson stressed that the program will not be implemented on a first-come-first-served basis, stating, "Sufficient capital has been allocated so that all qualifying banks can participate."

The Department has developed a single application form for qualified, interested banks to submit to their primary federal regulator—the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Office of Comptroller of the Currency, or the Office of Thrift Supervision. Once a bank’s primary regulator reviews the application, the regulator will forward the bank’s application to Treasury’s Office of Financial Stability for approval. Paulson said Treasury will "give considerable weight" to the recommendations of the federal regulators. The terms will be the same for all applicants, and regulators will use a standardized review process. Treasury will announce all transactions within 48 hours of execution; however, the Treasury will not publicly reveal any applications that are withdrawn or denied. The application deadline remains November 14, 2008.

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Tax Relief under TARP

Many unresolved issues continue to surround the financial relief program as evidenced by a flurry of diverse actions today. The nation’s banking regulators—the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Agency, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and the Office of Thrift Supervision—issued a joint release about tax relief for banking organizations that have suffered losses on their Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac holdings. The regulators will allow banking organizations “to recognize the effect of the tax change enacted in Section 301 of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (EESA) in their third quarter 2008 regulatory capital calculations.” Without today’s decision, banking institutions would not have seen any tax benefit until the fourth quarter of 2008.

Also today, leaders of the Independent Community Bankers Association (ICBA) met with President Bush and Secretary Paulson to discuss the Treasury’s capital purchase program. The FDIC will be the main overseer of that program; however, institutions’ primary regulators (e.g., OCC or OTS) will assist the FDIC. The Treasury has released some details of the program, but according to an ICBA press release, more details are needed. Association leaders urged Treasury to provide “details on how mutual, Subchapter S corporation, privately held and non-publicly traded community banks can participate.”

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CPP for Community and Regional Banks

As the stock market continues its seesaw sessions this week, the Treasury Department is focusing on implementation of the programs that flow from the financial rescue package assembled in recent weeks.

After Monday's announcement of the capital infusion to the nine largest US banks, attention is turning to the thousands of community and regional banks nationwide that may be eligible for assistance from the capital purchase program. The Treasury Department has announced that November 14 is the deadline for institutions to get their applications in for assistance under the program. Our report on Tuesday, October 14 included the details of the capital purchase program.

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Capital Injections

Treasury Department officials confirmed overnight their plan to allocate the first $250 billion of the $700 billion financial rescue package not for the purchase of troubled assets, as originally contemplated, but to inject capital into nine of the nation's largest banks in exchange for preferred shares. Calling it the TARP Capital Purchase Program, President Bush is expected to certify today that the next $100 million of the plan is required for release per the provisions of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008.


Here is how the funds will be distributed:

Citigroup $25 billion
JP Morgan Chase $25 billion
Bank of America $25 billion (including $5 billion for its Merrill Lynch acquisition)
Wells Fargo $25 billion (including $5 billion for its Wachovia acquisition)
Goldman Sachs $10 billion
Morgan Stanley $10 billion
Bank of New York $2-3 billion
Mellon Bank $2-3 billion
State Street Bank $2-3 billion
TOTAL $126 - 129 billion.

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TARP Management RFP's

As implementation of the financial rescue package accelerates, Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson today outlined at a press conference steps underway to implement the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Among those steps is the appointment of Neel Kashkari, a 35-year-old aerospace engineer whose resume includes a Wharton MBA and investment banking for Goldman Sachs, to be the interim head of the new Office of Financial Stability. The process for selecting firms to manage assets and assist in administering the TARP is underway. While it is moving quickly, we anticipate there will be additional opportunities in the near future for asset management firms and other service providers to be involved.

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Convincing Congressional Republicans

In a day of fast-moving developments there are some signs that discussions on a financial rescue package may re-start in a constructive way. According to Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV), House Republicans have agreed to return to the negotiating table at the noon hour under the leadership of House Minority Whip Roy Blunt (R-MO). To the extent the conversation is required to reach a compromise, this is a sign of progress in getting to a deal. Blunt will be bringing with him an outline of the House GOP plan to deal with the financial crisis. The key elements of that plan are the following:

  • Federal insurance of mortgage-backed securities (in addition to the insurance already provided to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac products). Premiums paid by asset owners would support the program.
  • Regulatory and tax relief for the financial industry (e.g ability to suspend dividend payments).
  • A cut in the capital gains tax.
  • Greater transparency in reporting of the types of assets held by financial institutions and greater SEC scrutiny of audit reports.
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Momentum Building for Financial Rescue

Momentum continues to build for enactment of the $700 billion Administration plan to buy troubled assets from financial institutions. As an indicator of the increasingly upbeat mood around the package, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by over 200 points for the day.

As we write this, President Bush is meeting with Sens. McCain and Obama and Congressional leaders to discuss how to advance the plan. While this meeting is viewed by many as a sideshow, a forceful statement by the sitting president and the two men seeking to replace him will add to the overall sense that action on Capitol Hill is soon possible.

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Still No Consensus on Treasury Rescue Plan

Washington continues its bipolar approach to dealing with the Bush Administration's proposed plan to purchase, manage and sell troubled assets from financial institutions. Key leaders continue to work on the contours of a plan so that it can be voted on late this week. At the same time, rank and file Members, particularly on the GOP side, are turning up the volume on their objections. We continue to believe prospects are good for enactment of a plan to create a $700 billion investment to purchase assets. However it is clear that several pounds of flesh will be extracted from Secretary Paulson along the way.

Since yesterday, it has become more evident that executive compensation limits of some kind will be included in the final plan. The Administration still opposes this strongly, but they will have little choice but to accept it. Otherwise, there appears to be agreement on including outside oversight over Treasury on the program, protections against foreclosures on homeowners, and the option for Treasury to take warrants for stock from companies that sell assets to them.

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Paulson, Bernanke, and the White House push $700 Billion Rescue

While congressional leaders and the Administration continue to make progress in developing a compromise $700 billion package to shore up the financial markets, this morning’s news is that skeptics in both parties are making their voices heard very strongly. This skepticism is not likely to derail the plan altogether, but it may slow its path to enactment.

Events in public and in private this morning have brought out the opponents of Secretary Paulson’s plan. A public hearing at the Senate Banking Committee began at 10 a.m. this morning and continues as this is written. At the hearing, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke emphasized the importance of quick action on the plan. He said financial institutions continue to be at risk and the pending plan will be important to staving off further failures. Secretary Paulson pressed again for a “clean” piece of legislation (meaning with minimal add-ons) but also telegraphed some flexibility on issues like oversight and mortgage assistance for homeowners. Members of the committee from both sides of the aisle hit the Administration hard for pushing a plan that appears to be a “blank check” for the Treasury Secretary.

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